According to forecasts, by 2033 the annual mortality rate in the United States will exceed the birth rate. This is evidenced by the report “Demographic Forecast: 2025-2055”, published by the Office of the US Congress on the budget (CBO).
According to the report that the population of the United States is expected to grow on average by 0.2 percent per year: from 350 million people in 2025 to 372 million people in 2055. It is noted that this indicator is less than a quarter of the average annual growth rate of 0.9%, recorded in the period 1975-2024. And in this regard, by 2033, the excess of the annual number of deaths above the birth rate.
is predicted.
It is expected that the rate of population growth will slowly slow down over the next 30 years, decreasing from an average annual indicator of 0.4 percent from 2025 to 2035 to an average annual indicator of 0.1 percent from 2036 to 2055, – noted in the report.
Pure migration will become an increasingly important source of population growth. Without migration, the population may begin to decline by 2033, and the birth rate, according to forecasts, will be insufficient to maintain the life of one generation, the report said.
The population is expected on average between 2025 and 2055. During this period, a significant increase in the number of people aged 65 years and older will be indicated. The growth rate of this age group will exceed the growth rate of younger age groups – follows the report.