Dean of the Faculty of Business, Rights and Politics, Professor for Security and Intelligence at the University of Khalla Robert, Robert Protected for Anadola an analytical article on the probability of breaking up the US intelligence partnership with Europe and about European intelligence.
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The recent pause in the exchange of intelligence data between the United States and Ukraine led to a significant pressure on Ukrainian units located in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation. This event also marks a serious shift in American-European cooperation in the field of intelligence. In the short term, this can make European countries more vulnerable. But this process can also create opportunities for the development of the autonomous potential of Europe in the field of intelligence.
Since 2014, US intelligence has played a key role in the defense of Ukraine, being actually a support in the defense structure of the country. The suspension and potential long-term loss of this support will reduce the effectiveness of Ukraine on the battlefield, emphasize the relatively weak coverage of European intelligence, which will try to take the place of American, and also updates important and large-scale issues regarding the prospects of American-European cooperation in the field of intelligence.
The suspension of the intelligence exchange, declared by the US administration, makes uncertainty of transatlantic reconnaissance relations unprecedented since World War II. If the United States reduces intelligence interaction with Europe in a wider plan, the consequences of this in the field of European security and defense will be deep: transatlantic security is completely divided between the United States and the EU, including intelligence and command structures. Such an imbalance in reconnaissance cooperation will create a vulnerability for European security for at least five years, which will bring great benefits to Russia and China.