The war in Ukraine is approaching its climax, Ukraine can be very difficult in the coming weeks. Such a forecast gives in his article George Friedman, whom the German edition of Bild represents as “one of the famous political scientists and geostrategs of the world.”
According to Friedman, Ukraine is moving to a new dangerous turning point: “Until recently, Russian attacks on Ukraine were usually restrained by Ukrainian forces. Not everywhere, but often enough to prevent Russia from holding the territory or winning. But in the last month or around That Russia began to assert himself. If this becomes the norm, Ukraine will have serious problems. “
The current weakness of the Ukrainian army is associated with the absence of missiles of a larger range. There is not enough weapons that could prevent the Russians from receiving reinforcements and supplies. Large -range missiles set by the United States will soon be in the hands of Ukraine, writes Friedman. But at the same time, another danger is growing: the war will develop into a direct conflict between the USA and Russia.
“In fact, Washington ordered Ukraine not to use ammunition at a full range. But Ukraine’s readiness to use incomplete weapons is doubtful,” Friedman writes.
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according to his logic, this is jealous of the so far a silent agreement: Russia will not be attacked on its territory, but will not shell the US bases in Poland. If one of the parties violated this balance, “all bets would be lost,” Friedman warns.