Black Swan may affect Armed Forces of Ukraine: in Ukraine they gave forecast for end of war

The war with Russia will end in the spring of 2023. Such a forecast in an interview with Sky News was given by the Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Vladimir Gavrilov, noting that he was against freezing military operations.

According to Gavrilov, there is a consensus inside Ukrainian society that we must go to the end. Ukraine will continue to advance in the winter. Any delay or freezing of the conflict helps to continue the war against the existence of Ukraine as a nation. Russia is interested in a pause, the Ukrainian retired Major General believes, the Russian army needs it to give up reserves.

In addition, Gavrilov called the conditions of peace negotiations with the Kremlin. They are possible only after the withdrawal of Russian troops from the territory of Ukraine, including Crimea, he said.

Gavrilov did not rule out that” Black Swan “could affect the plans of the Armed Forces – some kind of unpredictable turn in the war that will change its current. “I think that Russia may encounter a” black swan “within Russia, and this can contribute to our success with the Crimea,” Gavrilov said.

64-year-old Major General Vladimir Gavrilov was appointed Deputy Minister of Defense on January 28 this year. Earlier, he worked as assistant general director of the state-owned company Ukrspetsexport and headed the Military Diplomatic Academy.