Little Brigadier General of the Army of Turkey Yugel Karauz told HaqQin.az about a possible scenario of armed conflict between Ukraine and Russia.
According to a military expert, 120 thousand military concentrated at the Ukrainian border and a large number of combat technology are quite sufficient to conduct a successful war with the Ukrainian army.
It is most likely that Russia’s Armed Forces will be taken at the beginning for several days a dense rocket-artillery shelling of Ukrainian fortifications on the border with recognized by Russia separatist formations “LNR” and “DPR”.
At the same time, aviation can be involved in military objects on a more distant distance and attempts to destroy Ukrainian technique from the air, concentrated from the Russian-Ukrainian and Belarusian borders from the air. After that, from the side of the Donbass, the land forces of the Russian Federation will be introduced, as well as a distracting maneuver with the invasion of Belarus.
General Yujel Karauz does not predict in the event of a conflict Capture Kiev, since, in his opinion, this does not meet the political interests of Moscow, because it can cause a massive response of the world community and, in particular, the political leadership of the West. Most likely, as it was during the war with Georgia in August 2008, the Russian army will not move deep into Ukraine, limiting the cleaning of the military infrastructure around the borders with the “DPR” and “LNR”.
What could be the response actions of the Ukrainian army?
Tactically, Ukraine is beneficial to inflict Bayraktar TB2 drones at the positions of the Russian army on the ground with a difficult terrain. According to the Turkish expert, this is exactly what the partisan war looks like, the main goal of which is damage to the alive strength and enemy technique without the need to join tight clashes. With such tactics, the main trumps of the Ukrainian army are urban battles, as well as the lubrication of the enemy in wooded places.
“Definitely, I can say that in the war with Russia one for one of Ukraine there is no chance to defend the country,” the Yugel Karauz stressed. “But if the NATO country will perform on the side of Kiev, there is no Russian military campaign in Ukraine. a single chance for success. “
The expert believes that in the end of the open armed clash between Moscow and Kiev, it will be possible to avoid, since, in his opinion, during the coming meeting of Putin’s presidents and Biden, a compromise will be found, after his threat of a new world war would be completely eliminated.