The war in Ukraine is the main negative factor for the global economy in 2023. This was stated by the director of the IMF of Kristalina Georgieva in an interview with CNBC.
“We consider the war in Ukraine the main negative factor for the global economy in this and, with the most likelihood, next year. Everything that creates more anxiety, of course, undermines the prospects for the growth and fulfillment of the needs and aspirations of people around the world”, she said.
According to the updated IMF forecast, the growth of world GDP in 2022 will be 3.2%, and in 2023 only 2.7%. The average inflation in 2022 in the fund is expected at 8.7%, 2023 – at 6.5%.
”The world growth slowed down in 2022 due to the reduction in the effect of the opening of the economy (after the pandemic of Covid -Ed.), Tight tight and monetary policy, restrictions and crisis in the real estate market in China and the Russian -Ukrainian war,” – Analysts by Goldman Sachs.
In their opinion, world growth will be 2.9%in 2022, and in the next – only 1.8%. The Eurozone and the UK, according to experts, are already in recession. The United States can avoid a slowdown in the economy, but this is unlikely for Russia. Economists say that the decline in Russia will be 3.3% and 1.3% in 2022 and 2023, respectively.