Key messages:
- The primary goals of COVID-19 vaccination using currently licensed vaccines continue to be to reduce hospitalization, severe disease and death, and to protect health systems. The use of currently licensed vaccines based on the index virus (i.e. the
virus that was identified from the first cases of COVID-19 in December 2019) confers high levels of protection against severe disease outcomes for all variants, including Omicron with a booster dose. - There has been continuous and substantial virus evolution since SARS-CoV-2 emerged in late 2019 and it is likely that this evolution will continue, resulting in the emergence of new variants, particularly those with changes in the spike protein. The
trajectory of SARS-CoV-2 evolution remains uncertain and the genetic and antigenic characteristics of future variants cannot yet be predicted. - Given the uncertainties of further evolution, it may be prudent to pursue an additional objective of COVID-19 vaccination of achieving broader immunity against circulating and emerging variants while retaining protection against severe disease and death.
- Available data (see Annex) indicate that the inclusion of Omicron, as the most antigenically distinct SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern, in an updated vaccine composition may be beneficial if administered as a booster dose to those who have already received a COVID-19 vaccination primary series.
The Technical Advisory Group on COVID-19 Vaccine Composition (TAG-CO-VAC) is
an independent group of experts that has continued to assess the public health implications of emerging SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern (VOC) on the performance of COVID-19 vaccines in order to issue timely recommendations on potential modifications
to vaccine strain composition. Since the designation of the Omicron VOC by the World Health Organization (WHO) in November 2021, the TAG-CO-VAC has closely followed the impact of Omicron on the performance of currently licensed COVID-19 vaccines to
consider whether a change in COVID-19 vaccine composition may be warranted. Further to the interim statement published on 8 March 2022, this TAG-CO-VAC statement is intended to offer Member States, vaccine
developers and regulatory authorities considerations as to whether a modified vaccine composition may be warranted and, if so, how this may be achieved to fulfil the public health objectives of COVID-19 vaccination.
Is a modified COVID-19 vaccine composition warranted?
Since the classification of Omicron as a VOC, there has been rapid and relatively synchronous displacement of other circulating variants by Omicron that has caused substantial epidemic waves in all six WHO regions. Omicron is characterized by a large number of mutations, including many in antigenically important regions of the spike (S) protein. Its transmission advantage over other variants has largely been driven by immune escape properties, and Omicron has infected many who had been previously vaccinated and/or infected. Several sublineages within Omicron, notably BA.1, BA.2, BA.3, BA.4 and BA.5, have been identified, which share many of the same S protein mutations.
In this context, the primary goals of COVID-19 vaccination using currently licensed vaccines continue to be to reduce hospitalization, severe disease and death, and to protect health systems. A primary series of currently licensed vaccines based on the
virus that was identified from the first cases of COVID-19 in December 2019 (termed the index virus e.g. GISAID: hCoV-19/Wuhan/WIV04/2019) confers lower levels of protection against severe disease outcomes for Omicron, compared to prior VOCs. However,
a booster dose of the currently licensed COVID-19 vaccines based on the index virus appears to restore protection against severe disease and death against currently circulating variants1 at levels that remain acceptable.2
Nevertheless, there has been substantial virus evolution, particularly in the S protein, since the first cases of COVID-19 and it is likely that this evolution will continue, resulting in the emergence of new variants in the future. There is uncertainty
about the timing of the emergence, extent of global circulation and antigenic characteristics of future variants. In this context, immunity elicited against as broad a range of SARS-CoV-2 S protein antigens as possible may be desirable to retain and
potentially improve protection against future variants. Therefore, it may be prudent to pursue an additional objective of COVID-19 vaccination to achieve immune responses that both:
- elicit a greater breadth in the immune response against circulating and emerging variants, to enhance protection against these variants, and
- retain protection against hospitalization, severe disease and death, and protecting health systems.
As such, a modified COVID-19 vaccine composition may be warranted to broaden immune protection against divergent SARS-CoV-2 S protein antigens.
If a modified COVID-19 vaccine composition is deemed to be necessary, what is the recommended strain composition of the vaccine?
The TAG-CO-VAC has considered the comparative epidemiological and virological characteristics of VOCs to date, including Omicron. This included, but was not limited to, published and unpublished data on the antigenic characteristics and antibody escape
of various VOCs including Omicron, the cross-protection of Omicron specific responses following vaccination or infection with prior VOCs, and following Omicron infection and/or Omicron-specific vaccine candidates (see Annex). Importantly, the TAG-CO-VAC
acknowledges that at this time, limited animal model and human data have been published on Omicron-specific vaccine candidates, and these will continue to be reviewed as more data become available.
Omicron is the most antigenically distinct SARS-CoV-2 VOC to have spread globally – much more so than Alpha, or Delta, which are more antigenically similar to the index virus. This has been demonstrated by the substantially reduced neutralization
activity against Omicron as compared to earlier VOCs, both in vaccinated individuals and in those who had been previously infected with earlier VOCs. Furthermore, antibody responses in previously naïve (unprimed) individuals exposed to Omicron
are strong, but they do not cross-react well with previous variants, including other VOCs. In contrast, in individuals who have been previously primed by SARS-CoV-2 infection (i.e., index virus, Alpha, Delta) or COVID-19 vaccination (based on the
index virus), infection with Omicron elicits a broadly cross-reactive antibody response. Similar observations have also been seen in animal models and preliminary clinical data in humans assessing Omicron-specific vaccine candidates. Collectively,
the data show that repeated exposure to SARS-CoV-2 antigens (either through breakthrough infection, vaccination following infection, or ≥ 3 vaccine doses) enhances the magnitude of the antibody response and an increase in breadth is observed after
Omicron infection in previously primed humans.
Therefore, available data indicate that the inclusion of Omicron in an updated vaccine composition is likely to be beneficial in populations that have already received a COVID-19 vaccination primary series. For an Omicron-specific vaccine product, the
TAG-CO-VAC recognizes that viruses or viral genetic sequences very closely related to hCoV/South Africa/NICD-N21668/2021 or hCoV/USA/CA-CDC-4358237-001/2021 are some of the most antigenically distant from the index virus to date and are likely to
enhance the magnitude and breadth of the antibody response.
Importantly, the TAG-CO-VAC considers that the protection offered by an Omicron-specific vaccine product is likely to differ in those who have already received a COVID-19 vaccine primary series (primed), as compared to those who have not (unprimed). Based
on the data to date, it is inferred that an Omicron-specific monovalent vaccine product administered as a booster dose for those who have already received a primary vaccine series may elicit greater breadth in the immune response.
In contrast, an Omicron-specific monovalent vaccine product as a standalone formulation for the primary series is not advised as it is not yet known whether Omicron-specific vaccines will offer similar
cross-reactive immunity and cross-protection from severe illness caused by other VOCs in unprimed individuals as the index virus-based vaccines have done.
Although bi- or multivalent products have yet to be approved by regulatory authorities, vaccines containing index virus and Omicron in a single product may be able to achieve similar outcomes as the proposed sequential approach. However, at this time,
only limited data are available to assess whether the cross-reactive immune responses in humans using an Omicron-containing bi/multivalent product will be equivalent to those elicited with a sequential vaccine approach.
The TAG-CO-VAC recognizes that the inclusion of Omicron, as the most antigenically distinct VOC to date, in a variant-specific formulation and administered as a booster dose, does not preclude the consideration of other variant-specific formulations by
regulatory authorities. The key additional objective of modified COVID-19 vaccine formulations is to achieve breadth of cross-reactive immunity to previous, currently circulating and/or emerging variants.
Conclusion
The use of currently licensed vaccines based on the index virus confers high levels of protection against severe disease outcomes for all variants, including Omicron with a booster dose. As such, the continued use of currently licensed vaccines for primary
vaccination and as a booster dose is appropriate to achieve the primary goals of COVID-19 vaccination. Given the uncertainties of the genetic and antigenic characteristics of future SARS-CoV-2 variants, it may be prudent to pursue an additional objective
of COVID-19 vaccination of achieving a greater breadth in the antibody response against circulating and emerging variants, while retaining protection against severe disease and death. In this context, available data indicate that the inclusion of
Omicron, as the most antigenically distinct SARS-CoV-2 VOC, in an updated vaccine composition may be beneficial. Available data also indicate that this would be best administered as a booster dose to those who have already received a COVID-19 vaccination
primary series, if such vaccines were to be made available.
The TAG-CO-VAC acknowledges that this position is based on limited data from animal models, inference from Omicron infection in primed and unprimed individuals, and preliminary clinical data in humans vaccinated with an Omicron vaccine candidate. The
TAG-CO-VAC therefore recognizes that considerable uncertainties remain. Firstly, uncertainty in the trajectory of SARS-CoV-2 evolution is such that there is a risk that this update may not align with variants that emerge in the future. However, a
modified vaccine composition that includes Omicron will likely broaden the antibody response in primed individuals. Secondly, there are assumptions as to the potential performance of variant-specific vaccines, including Omicron-containing vaccines.
It is assumed that the safety, reactogenicity and immunogenicity of the updated vaccine composition will be comparable to those of the currently licensed vaccines based on the index virus. The TAG-CO-VAC therefore strongly encourages the generation
of clinical data on immune responses in humans to a primary series and/or booster dose of Omicron-specific vaccines, across different vaccine platforms. These additional data may then be considered by TAG-CO-VAC and will allow the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) on Immunization and its COVID-19 Vaccines Working Group to issue policy recommendations on the
use and timing of Omicron-specific vaccines.
The statement reflects the current vaccine performance and landscape of licensed COVID-19 vaccines as of June 2022. The statement will therefore be updated as further data become available.