If Ukraine does not win in 2023, the war can develop “into a protracted conflict in favor of Putin,” according to reporters The Washington Post.
Military analysts listed the problems that the Armed Forces of Ukraine may encounter:
– Russians are digging in defensive positions, reinforced at least 100 thousand mobilized.
– the successes of Kyiv in 2022 are based on the mistakes of the Russian Federation, which are unlikely to be repeated and too ambitious plans of Russia.
– lack of ammunition. Here, experts note a clear lack of ammunition from the Russian Federation
“And although Russia began to build up production, it is clear that it may not correspond to consumption,” the publication says.
Experts also note the ambiguity whether the West can satisfy Ukraine’s needs for ammunition.
If this year the front lines are not significantly shifted, the further path will become “more gloomy”: “With a long war in Ukraine, the number of experienced soldiers may decrease, and Russia” will have a chance to restore its economy and military capabilities “to advance. If Putin can turn this into a long -term war for exhaustion, he will probably be able to leave Ukraine, ”the newspaper writes.